Population changes in the West and Fremantle
July 28, 2015 Leave a comment
The City of Fremantle is debating its submission on Perth and Peel@3.5 Million at our council meeting on Wednesday night. At the heart of this is how to deal with population growth while reducing sprawl. The key problem is that that over the four years since Directions 2031 was launched the infill development rate across the metropolitan area has not increased – the rate was 28% in 2014 against the Directions 2031 target of 47%. This is no better than the rate of infill development historically achieved over a number of years which has remained around 30%.
Drilling down to the Freo level, the recent 2014 report card showed that Fremantle is ‘tracking towards’ its 2011-2015 infill target of 1,270. It noted that in 2011 and 2012 combined Fremantle delivered 460 infill dwellings, which represents 36% of the total target number of infill dwellings for the first 5 year period of Directions 2031 housing supply.
This was the second highest percentage achieved out of the 19 local governments in the Central sub-region (Claremont achieved 50% which equates to 125 dwellings, as Claremont’s total 5 year supply target is only 250 dwellings).
Other interesting facts in these report cards show that:
- after Perth, Fremantle has the highest employment self-containment meaning a comparatively high number of those that work in the city also live in the city;
- after Mandurah, Fremantle has the second highest activity centre density for a Strategic Metropolitan Centre;
- Fremantle’s net site density of dwellings per hectare is 23.19;
- 26.1 % of Fremantle’s workforce travel to work using public transport and/or walking.
Perth and Peel@3.5 Million follows on from Directions 2031 and provides updated projections for population and employment growth, rolled forward to a 2050 time horizon. It then uses these to establish updated housing supply targets for each of the local governments in the sub-region, derived from the total housing supply considered necessary in a scenario where the whole metropolitan area reaches a population of 3.5 million by approximately 2050.
The supply target for the City of Fremantle is 7,100 new dwellings by 2050. This is an ambitious jump in population but entirely doable. Here is how we are tracking in recent years according to the ABS: